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BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:03eb0734bda4d78ea9088deaa234e1e6
CATEGORIES:Seminars
CREATED:20200213T122105
SUMMARY:Lunch Seminar: Vasily Korovkin - CERGE-EI
DESCRIPTION;ENCODING=QUOTED-PRINTABLE:\n\nConflict and Supply Chain Network: Evidence from the Donbas War in Ukra
 ine (joint with Alexey Makarin)\n\n\nAbstract:\nHow do severe shocks, such 
 as an armed conflict, alter a country's economy? We study how the productio
 n network of a low-income country is affected by a devastating but localize
 d conflict. We use the Ukrainian railway shipment data for 2013--2016 compl
 emented by the administrative data on firms to document the propagation of 
 a conflict shock throughout the supply-chain network. We document substanti
 al spillover effects of conflict on interfirm trade outside of the conflict
  areas. Our estimates suggest that the second-order effects of conflict are
  about a third of the first-order effects. A naive difference-in-difference
 s regression would have underestimated the total impact of conflict on the 
 interfirm economic exchange by 72%. Finally, we study the consequences of a
  change in the network structure. Firms that, for exogenous reasons, became
  more central in the production network after the start of the conflict, re
 ceived a boost to their revenue and profits.\n
DTSTAMP:20260404T062208Z
DTSTART:20200226T130000Z
DTEND:20200226T140000Z
SEQUENCE:0
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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