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BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:04e1c1e4375aa3706f8579e460da703f
CATEGORIES:Seminars
CREATED:20170410T162641
SUMMARY:Uwe Sunde - Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität
DESCRIPTION;ENCODING=QUOTED-PRINTABLE:Malaria Risk and Civil Violence (with Matteo Cervellati, Elena Esposito and
  Simona Valmori)\nAbstract:\n Using geo-referenced data for Africa we inves
 tigate the role of temporary health shocks, related to the risk of malaria 
 epidemics, for civil violence. Following the epidemiological literature, we
  identify climatological conditions that exhibit elevated risk for malaria 
 outbreaks at the cell-year and cell-month level. Identification exploits th
 e contrast of the occurrence of these conditions in cells with low malaria 
 exposure and cells with high malaria exposure. In the low exposure areas, t
 he population has lower genetic and acquired immunities, relative to cells 
 with no or very high exposure. Consequently, it is hypothesized that the im
 pact of suitable weather conditions on the likelihood of malaria outbreaks 
 is amplified in these cells. Due to the short incubation time, malaria outb
 reaks can be identified at high temporal resolution. Exploiting within cell
  variability both at yearly and monthly frequencies, the analysis can accou
 nt for unobserved heterogeneity by including a rich set of time and cell co
 ntrols, including cell x year specific determinants of civil conflicts and 
 seasonal patterns within the year. The results suggest that the occurrence 
 of unusually suitable conditions for malaria outbreaks in cells with low ma
 laria exposure significantly increases the likelihood of civil violence com
 pared to cells with high malaria exposure. The results are robust to a comp
 rehensive set of checks.\n
DTSTAMP:20260423T004851Z
DTSTART:20160404T173000Z
DTEND:20160404T190000Z
SEQUENCE:0
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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